College Teaser
- Watch the Chilling First Teaser for Netflix's Documentary on the College Admissions Scandal Elyse Dupre 1 day ago Texas judge deals Biden another blow on 100-day deportation ban.
- A funny restricted trailer of College is available at: College Red Band Trailer College is about a group of young males from college who are over-dreaming about life at university and sneak into a visit event to enjoy the pleasure of university life.
- Operation Varsity Blues: The College Admissions Scandal is a new original documentary coming to Netflix from Chris Smith and John Karmen, the filmmakers behind the popular Fyre documentary.
Two team, six point teasers are typically available at odds of -110, and in our article on basic strategy for the NFL we calculated that each selection must win 72.37% of the time to break even. Considering that point spreads are 50/50 propositions before the tease, teasing must increase the cover rate by 22.37% to be profitable (72.37% less 50%).
The college admissions scandal that saw the rich purchase spots at prestigious schools for their children rocked the world back in 2019. Most people know it well because of the two famous actresses who participated in the scandal: Lori Loughlin and Felicity Huffman. The entertainment world took notice when Loughlin and Huffman were outed for their roles, and now the story is getting a documentary treatment on Netflix.
Operation Varsity Blues: The College Admissions Scandal is a new original documentary coming to Netflix from Chris Smith and John Karmen, the filmmakers behind the popular Fyre documentary. On Monday morning, Netflix unveiled the first teaser for Operation Varsity Blues, as well as the official release date for the project. The new documentary arrives on Netflix on March 17th, and you can check out the teaser below.
Everything you’ve heard is true. But you haven’t heard everything. Using real conversations recreated from FBI wiretaps the filmmaker behind Fyre brings you Operation Varsity Blues: The College Admissions Scandal pic.twitter.com/kwsqTCSkqq
— NetflixFilm (@NetflixFilm) February 22, 2021Like Fyre, which debuted back in 2019, there will likely be a lot of eyeballs on this new documentary when it arrives next month. Just about everyone with a Netflix account knows about the scandal, and folks are interested to see how the subsequent FBI investigation unfolded.
Here's the official synopsis for Operation Varsity Blues: The College Admissions Scandal:
0comments'An examination that goes beyond the celebrity-driven headlines and dives into the methods used by Rick Singer, the man at the center of the shocking 2019 college admissions scandal, to persuade his wealthy clients to cheat an educational system already designed to benefit the privileged. Using an innovative combination of interviews and narrative recreations of the FBI’s wiretapped conversations between Singer and his clients, Operation Varsity Blues offers a rare glimpse into the enigmatic figure behind a scheme that exposed the lengths wealthy families would go to for admission into elite colleges, and angered a nation already grappling with the effects of widespread inequality. From Chris Smith and Jon Karmen, the filmmakers behind Fyre, and starring Matthew Modine as Rick Singer.'
Are you looking forward to the new Netflix documentary? Let us know in the comments!
Most people familiar with betting college basketball don’t think much about teasers. These bets are pretty popular in football, but simply don’t get as much action in basketball.
College Teaser Picks
What is a Teaser Bet in Basketball? Understanding How They Work
For those that don’t know what a teaser is and how it works, here’s a quick explanation. The basic principle of a teaser is moving the line in your favor. The only catch is you have to include 2 or more teams and like a parlay, all the teams must win for you to cash a winning ticket. For example, say Duke was a 10-point favorite in their upcoming game. You like them to
For example, say you liked Duke -7, Michigan -4 and Kentucky -8. You like all three to win but aren’t so confident they will do so by more than the spread. You can include them in 4-point teaser and move the line 4-points in your favor. Using our example, Duke would go from -7 to -3, Michigan would go from -4 to a Pick’em and Kentucky would drop from -8 to -4.
The more teams you include the bigger the payouts, but also the less likely you are to win. You can also tease more than 4-points. However, the more points, the worse the payouts are going to get. As you can see from the chart below, a 2-team 4-point teaser would net you $117 on a $100 wager. If you used the same two teams and did a 10-point teaser, you would have to risk $410 just to win $100.
NCAA College Basketball Teaser Payout Chart By Points & Team Number
| Points | 2 team | 3 team | 4 team | 5 team | 6 team | 7 team | 8 team | 9 team | 10 team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | +117 | +200 | +335 | +525 | +805 | +1200 | +1775 | +2600 | +3800 |
| 4.5 | +103 | +190 | +315 | +490 | +745 | +1100 | +1625 | +2400 | +3500 |
| 5 | -110 | +165 | +265 | +410 | +610 | +890 | +1275 | +1825 | +2600 |
| 5.5 | -120 | +150 | +240 | +365 | +550 | +800 | +1100 | +1550 | +2150 |
| 6 | -150 | +120 | +185 | +270 | +380 | +530 | +725 | +975 | +1325 |
| 6.5 | -180 | +100 | +153 | +220 | +300 | +405 | +540 | +715 | +935 |
| 7 | -210 | -110 | +136 | +195 | +265 | +355 | +465 | +610 | +800 |
| 7.5 | -230 | -120 | +128 | +180 | +245 | +325 | +425 | +550 | +710 |
| 8 | -250 | -135 | +120 | +165 | +225 | +295 | +385 | +490 | +630 |
| 8.5 | -270 | -155 | +110 | +155 | +205 | +265 | +345 | +435 | +550 |
| 9 | -300 | -175 | +100 | +140 | +185 | +240 | +305 | +385 | +480 |
| 9.5 | -325 | -185 | -105 | +132 | +175 | +225 | +285 | +360 | +450 |
| 10 | -410 | -235 | -120 | +115 | +150 | +195 | +240 | +300 | +375 |
How to Know When It’s Profitable to Bet College Basketball Teasers
What I wanted to find out was if this was are NCAA basketball teasers profitable. Or, are people just not aware that they can be if you cross enough key numbers.
I went back over more than 8,000 of the most recent NCAA basketball games to find out. We’ve also focused only on games in January and February. This allowed us to zero in on home/away trends. I wanted to get rid of early and late season tournaments. Those don’t typically have a home court advantage.
College Brain Teasers
I’ve broken these teaser results into four separate tables: Home Favorites, Home Underdogs, Road Favorites, and Road Underdogs. Typical basketball teasers are 4, 4.5 or 5 points.
The results below show the winning percentage of games with a closing spread (Line) at each number when teased 4, 4.5 or 5 points. We then compared that number to the winning percentage needed to turn a profit for a two-team teaser. Those are based on the typical available odds at a sportsbook. The break even percentages are listed at the bottom of each table.
You can compare teaser odds at online books here. The numbers below are based on the most common odds available.
I’ve also added separate results for 5Dimes and Bookmaker, which offer much better teaser odds than your typical site. We strongly recommend both if you are looking at getting into teasers. 5Dimes offers the best lines in the business when it comes to typical teasers. But, Bookmaker offers amazing payouts for 5.5, 6 and 6.5 point teasers in basketball.
Home Favorites
We start off by looking at home favorites in college basketball. There really aren’t a lot of good situations for teasing home favorites at the typical odds available for NCAA basketball. Teams favored by 14.5 to 15 points have historically been profitable to tease. But, keep in mind that the sample size on favorites of that many points is much smaller than more common spreads.
| Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | 59.21% | 61.01% | 63.26% |
| -1.5 | 63.70% | 64.95% | 65.63% |
| -2 | 61.18% | 62.64% | 64.47% |
| -2.5 | 59.16% | 62.00% | 63.75% |
| -3 | 62.82% | 63.53% | 66.07% |
| -3.5 | 59.67% | 61.68% | 62.93% |
| -4 | 62.80% | 62.80% | 63.82% |
| -4.5 | 64.88% | 64.88% | 64.88% |
| -5 | 68.81% | 69.76% | 69.76% |
| -5.5 | 63.73% | 65.56% | 66.52% |
| -6 | 65.99% | 67.81% | 69.91% |
| -6.5 | 66.59% | 69.14% | 70.28% |
| -7 | 66.74% | 67.87% | 71.56% |
| -7.5 | 69.13% | 71.95% | 73.04% |
| -8 | 64.84% | 65.82% | 68.06% |
| -8.5 | 65.25% | 68.66% | 70.21% |
| -9 | 65.65% | 66.96% | 69.82% |
| -9.5 | 64.71% | 66.77% | 67.80% |
| -10 | 64.35% | 65.86% | 68.55% |
| -10.5 | 61.98% | 64.24% | 65.50% |
| -11 | 63.83% | 66.23% | 68.26% |
| -11.5 | 65.71% | 71.60% | 73.93% |
| -12 | 58.46% | 60.73% | 64.48% |
| -12.5 | 66.95% | 70.27% | 71.67% |
| -13 | 61.57% | 63.64% | 66.09% |
| -13.5 | 60.93% | 64.22% | 66.05% |
| -14 | 64.85% | 66.82% | 68.75% |
| -14.5 | 71.51% | 74.42% | 75.42% |
| -15 | 72.14% | 73.83% | 75.86% |
| % Needed | 70.71% | 72.39% | 73.82% |
Road Favorites
With road favorites we finally see some great situations for teasers. We see this phenomenon in other sports as well and it makes sense when you think about it. It’s not easy for an away team to be favored unless they are clearly the better team. Then you get extra points to play with, giving that team a very good chance of covering.
| Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | 63.42% | 64.68% | 66.35% |
| -1.5 | 60.29% | 63.80% | 65.80% |
| -2 | 61.07% | 62.85% | 66.22% |
| -2.5 | 62.77% | 65.59% | 67.08% |
| -3 | 62.69% | 63.14% | 65.93% |
| -3.5 | 61.08% | 63.16% | 64.37% |
| -4 | 65.12% | 65.12% | 66.27% |
| -4.5 | 64.48% | 64.48% | 64.48% |
| -5 | 60.54% | 62.39% | 62.39% |
| -5.5 | 68.70% | 70.85% | 71.74% |
| -6 | 70.79% | 71.50% | 72.91% |
| -6.5 | 77.23% | 78.39% | 78.71% |
| -7 | 71.53% | 72.67% | 75.69% |
| -7.5 | 60.67% | 64.08% | 66.00% |
| -8 | 64.00% | 65.16% | 67.33% |
| -8.5 | 74.02% | 75.81% | 76.38% |
| -9 | 70.09% | 70.91% | 73.58% |
| -9.5 | 71.74% | 74.16% | 75.00% |
| -10 | 70.71% | 71.00% | 74.74% |
| -10.5 | 64.20% | 65.82% | 66.67% |
| -11 | 68.00% | 68.00% | 70.83% |
| -11.5 | 60.00% | 62.90% | 64.62% |
| -12 | 69.64% | 72.13% | 74.58% |
| -12.5 | 73.81% | 75.61% | 76.19% |
| -13 | 72.97% | 74.36% | 76.32% |
| -13.5 | 83.87% | 86.67% | 87.10% |
| -14 | 65.52% | 65.52% | 70.37% |
| -14.5 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
| -15 | 47.62% | 47.62% | 47.62% |
| % Needed | 70.71% | 72.39% | 73.82% |
Road Underdogs
We didn’t expect to see many good situations for visiting underdogs. But, the results tell a different story. Visiting underdogs from 12 to 13 points are your best bet for teasing in most cases. This is likely because once a team is up by double-digits late in the game they tend to play backups or at least slow their pace. This gives the losing team a chance to catch up and cover the spread you teased to.
| Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1 | 68.75% | 69.60% | 72.17% |
| +1.5 | 68.27% | 71.54% | 72.84% |
| +2 | 70.04% | 70.94% | 74.46% |
| +2.5 | 66.93% | 68.57% | 69.32% |
| +3 | 67.33% | 68.52% | 70.41% |
| +3.5 | 67.62% | 69.60% | 70.47% |
| +4 | 67.43% | 68.80% | 72.12% |
| +4.5 | 68.06% | 69.72% | 70.44% |
| +5 | 66.53% | 67.94% | 70.50% |
| +5.5 | 70.39% | 72.57% | 73.39% |
| +6 | 73.99% | 75.11% | 76.92% |
| +6.5 | 64.86% | 67.80% | 69.20% |
| +7 | 69.63% | 70.79% | 72.92% |
| +7.5 | 66.52% | 70.02% | 71.52% |
| +8 | 72.87% | 74.18% | 76.50% |
| +8.5 | 67.61% | 70.10% | 71.16% |
| +9 | 67.67% | 68.71% | 71.00% |
| +9.5 | 69.35% | 71.57% | 72.45% |
| +10 | 67.08% | 67.98% | 70.09% |
| +10.5 | 66.77% | 68.75% | 69.65% |
| +11 | 72.41% | 73.51% | 75.51% |
| +11.5 | 67.86% | 69.85% | 70.71% |
| +12 | 74.72% | 75.27% | 77.24% |
| +12.5 | 70.82% | 72.69% | 73.39% |
| +13 | 72.65% | 73.55% | 74.48% |
| +13.5 | 66.05% | 67.62% | 68.37% |
| +14 | 69.80% | 71.50% | 73.56% |
| +14.5 | 67.60% | 71.18% | 72.63% |
| +15 | 64.34% | 65.77% | 68.06% |
| % Needed | 70.71% | 72.39% | 73.82% |
College Teasers
Comparing Best NCAA Basketball Teaser Odds at Different SportsBooks
5Dimes Teaser Charts
Home Favorites (5Dimes)
We get similar results at 5Dimes compared to typical odds. Yet, you should note that you can hit at a lower rate and still profit. This means you don’t need to win as many of your teases over time to get a return on your investment.
| Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | 61.01% | 61.01% | 64.57% | 64.57% | 69.60% |
| -1.5 | 63.70% | 65.63% | 65.63% | 66.83% | 66.83% |
| -2 | 62.64% | 62.64% | 65.47% | 65.47% | 69.06% |
| -2.5 | 59.16% | 63.75% | 63.75% | 66.33% | 66.33% |
| -3 | 63.53% | 63.53% | 67.37% | 67.37% | 70.44% |
| -3.5 | 59.67% | 62.93% | 62.93% | 67.82% | 67.82% |
| -4 | 62.80% | 62.80% | 64.40% | 64.40% | 68.40% |
| -4.5 | 64.88% | 64.88% | 64.88% | 67.86% | 67.86% |
| -5 | 69.76% | 69.76% | 69.76% | 69.76% | 73.79% |
| -5.5 | 63.73% | 66.52% | 66.52% | 66.52% | 66.52% |
| -6 | 67.81% | 67.81% | 70.82% | 70.82% | 70.82% |
| -6.5 | 66.59% | 70.28% | 70.28% | 73.10% | 73.10% |
| -7 | 67.87% | 67.87% | 73.03% | 73.03% | 75.06% |
| -7.5 | 69.13% | 73.04% | 73.04% | 76.09% | 76.09% |
| -8 | 65.82% | 65.82% | 69.11% | 69.11% | 73.16% |
| -8.5 | 65.25% | 70.21% | 70.21% | 76.12% | 76.12% |
| -9 | 66.96% | 66.96% | 71.05% | 71.05% | 76.02% |
| -9.5 | 64.71% | 67.80% | 67.80% | 72.45% | 72.45% |
| -10 | 65.86% | 65.86% | 69.79% | 69.79% | 73.72% |
| -10.5 | 61.98% | 65.50% | 65.50% | 70.61% | 70.61% |
| -11 | 66.23% | 66.23% | 69.21% | 69.21% | 72.19% |
| -11.5 | 65.71% | 73.93% | 73.93% | 77.14% | 77.14% |
| -12 | 60.73% | 60.73% | 66.55% | 66.55% | 71.27% |
| -12.5 | 66.95% | 71.67% | 71.67% | 74.25% | 74.25% |
| -13 | 63.64% | 63.64% | 67.36% | 67.36% | 72.31% |
| -13.5 | 60.93% | 66.05% | 66.05% | 69.30% | 69.30% |
| -14 | 66.82% | 66.82% | 69.63% | 69.63% | 74.30% |
| -14.5 | 71.51% | 75.42% | 75.42% | 79.89% | 79.89% |
| -15 | 73.83% | 73.83% | 76.51% | 76.51% | 81.21% |
| % Needed | 69.84% | 70.53% | 73.14% | 74.93% | 78.26% |
Home Underdogs (5Dimes)
You can really see the advantage at 5Dimes over your book with 5 though 6 point teaser payouts. Just compare this table to the table above. You’ll see how many more opportunities there are to tease home dogs.
| Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1 | 64.45% | 64.45% | 66.28% | 66.28% | 68.81% |
| +1.5 | 64.35% | 67.54% | 67.54% | 71.88% | 71.88% |
| +2 | 68.45% | 68.45% | 70.74% | 70.74% | 74.05% |
| +2.5 | 63.08% | 68.00% | 68.00% | 71.38% | 71.38% |
| +3 | 67.07% | 67.07% | 69.18% | 69.18% | 71.90% |
| +3.5 | 64.97% | 69.16% | 69.16% | 71.26% | 71.26% |
| +4 | 69.77% | 69.77% | 73.55% | 73.55% | 76.45% |
| +4.5 | 69.50% | 72.20% | 72.20% | 74.90% | 74.90% |
| +5 | 69.23% | 69.23% | 71.79% | 71.79% | 75.64% |
| +5.5 | 64.35% | 68.26% | 68.26% | 71.74% | 71.74% |
| +6 | 67.63% | 67.63% | 72.46% | 72.46% | 74.88% |
| +6.5 | 60.89% | 63.37% | 63.37% | 65.84% | 65.84% |
| +7 | 69.33% | 69.33% | 74.67% | 74.67% | 76.67% |
| +7.5 | 73.33% | 77.33% | 77.33% | 79.33% | 79.33% |
| +8 | 61.29% | 61.29% | 64.52% | 64.52% | 66.45% |
| +8.5 | 61.42% | 65.35% | 65.35% | 70.87% | 70.87% |
| +9 | 68.18% | 68.18% | 73.64% | 73.64% | 76.36% |
| +9.5 | 64.13% | 66.30% | 66.30% | 68.48% | 68.48% |
| +10 | 62.00% | 62.00% | 63.00% | 63.00% | 69.00% |
| +10.5 | 67.90% | 72.84% | 72.84% | 76.54% | 76.54% |
| +11 | 68.00% | 68.00% | 69.33% | 69.33% | 76.00% |
| +11.5 | 70.77% | 73.85% | 73.85% | 75.38% | 75.38% |
| +12 | 68.85% | 68.85% | 72.13% | 72.13% | 77.05% |
| +12.5 | 61.90% | 66.67% | 66.67% | 69.05% | 69.05% |
| +13 | 64.10% | 64.10% | 66.67% | 66.67% | 66.67% |
| +13.5 | 51.61% | 54.84% | 54.84% | 64.52% | 64.52% |
| +14 | 72.41% | 72.41% | 79.31% | 79.31% | 86.21% |
| +14.5 | 61.90% | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
| +15 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 76.19% | 76.19% | 80.95% |
| % Needed | 69.84% | 70.53% | 73.14% | 74.93% | 78.26% |
Road Favorites (5Dimes)
There are a ton of situations where teasing road favorites at 5Dimes are profitable. There are a wide range of options for teams favored by 6 to 15 points on the road. As a general rule, lines makers tend to over-adjust for home floor advantage in college hoops. That’s just fine with us! It gives us a lot of great teaser situations season after season.
| Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | 64.68% | 64.68% | 67.20% | 67.20% | 71.56% |
| -1.5 | 60.29% | 65.80% | 65.80% | 69.57% | 69.57% |
| -2 | 62.85% | 62.85% | 67.94% | 67.94% | 72.26% |
| -2.5 | 62.77% | 67.08% | 67.08% | 70.46% | 70.46% |
| -3 | 63.14% | 63.14% | 67.37% | 67.37% | 71.60% |
| -3.5 | 61.08% | 64.37% | 64.37% | 66.17% | 66.17% |
| -4 | 65.12% | 65.12% | 66.86% | 66.86% | 70.93% |
| -4.5 | 64.48% | 64.48% | 64.48% | 66.02% | 66.02% |
| -5 | 62.39% | 62.39% | 62.39% | 62.39% | 65.38% |
| -5.5 | 68.70% | 71.74% | 71.74% | 71.74% | 71.74% |
| -6 | 71.50% | 71.50% | 73.43% | 73.43% | 73.43% |
| -6.5 | 77.23% | 78.71% | 78.71% | 80.20% | 80.20% |
| -7 | 72.67% | 72.67% | 76.67% | 76.67% | 79.33% |
| -7.5 | 60.67% | 66.00% | 66.00% | 72.67% | 72.67% |
| -8 | 65.16% | 65.16% | 68.39% | 68.39% | 71.61% |
| -8.5 | 74.02% | 76.38% | 76.38% | 77.95% | 77.95% |
| -9 | 70.91% | 70.91% | 74.55% | 74.55% | 78.18% |
| -9.5 | 71.74% | 75.00% | 75.00% | 80.43% | 80.43% |
| -10 | 71.00% | 71.00% | 76.00% | 76.00% | 78.00% |
| -10.5 | 64.20% | 66.67% | 66.67% | 71.60% | 71.60% |
| -11 | 68.00% | 68.00% | 72.00% | 72.00% | 72.00% |
| -11.5 | 60.00% | 64.62% | 64.62% | 66.15% | 66.15% |
| -12 | 72.13% | 72.13% | 75.41% | 75.41% | 77.05% |
| -12.5 | 73.81% | 76.19% | 76.19% | 78.57% | 78.57% |
| -13 | 74.36% | 74.36% | 76.92% | 76.92% | 76.92% |
| -13.5 | 83.87% | 87.10% | 87.10% | 90.32% | 90.32% |
| -14 | 65.52% | 65.52% | 72.41% | 72.41% | 72.41% |
| -14.5 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
| -15 | 47.62% | 47.62% | 47.62% | 47.62% | 61.90% |
| % Needed | 69.84% | 70.53% | 73.14% | 74.93% | 78.26% |
Road Underdogs (5Dimes)
Again, away underdogs really beat our expectations for teaser purposes. The 5, 5.5 and 6 point options at 5Dimes really open up a huge number of situations where you can profit by teasing underdogs away from home.
| Line | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1 | 69.60% | 69.60% | 73.17% | 73.17% | 75.89% |
| +1.5 | 68.27% | 72.84% | 72.84% | 75.48% | 75.48% |
| +2 | 70.94% | 70.94% | 75.66% | 75.66% | 77.17% |
| +2.5 | 66.93% | 69.32% | 69.32% | 72.11% | 72.11% |
| +3 | 68.52% | 68.52% | 71.21% | 71.21% | 75.24% |
| +3.5 | 67.62% | 70.47% | 70.47% | 73.52% | 73.52% |
| +4 | 68.80% | 68.80% | 73.40% | 73.40% | 77.20% |
| +4.5 | 68.06% | 70.44% | 70.44% | 73.61% | 73.61% |
| +5 | 67.94% | 67.94% | 71.57% | 71.57% | 76.01% |
| +5.5 | 70.39% | 73.39% | 73.39% | 76.82% | 76.82% |
| +6 | 75.11% | 75.11% | 77.47% | 77.47% | 80.04% |
| +6.5 | 64.86% | 69.20% | 69.20% | 73.32% | 73.32% |
| +7 | 70.79% | 70.79% | 73.71% | 73.71% | 76.63% |
| +7.5 | 66.52% | 71.52% | 71.52% | 74.78% | 74.78% |
| +8 | 74.18% | 74.18% | 77.22% | 77.22% | 80.76% |
| +8.5 | 67.61% | 71.16% | 71.16% | 72.58% | 72.58% |
| +9 | 68.71% | 68.71% | 71.93% | 71.93% | 76.32% |
| +9.5 | 69.35% | 72.45% | 72.45% | 75.85% | 75.85% |
| +10 | 67.98% | 67.98% | 71.00% | 71.00% | 73.72% |
| +10.5 | 66.77% | 69.65% | 69.65% | 72.52% | 72.52% |
| +11 | 73.51% | 73.51% | 76.16% | 76.16% | 77.81% |
| +11.5 | 67.86% | 70.71% | 70.71% | 75.36% | 75.36% |
| +12 | 75.27% | 75.27% | 77.82% | 77.82% | 79.64% |
| +12.5 | 70.82% | 73.39% | 73.39% | 76.39% | 76.39% |
| +13 | 73.55% | 73.55% | 74.79% | 74.79% | 77.69% |
| +13.5 | 66.05% | 68.37% | 68.37% | 71.63% | 71.63% |
| +14 | 71.50% | 71.50% | 74.30% | 74.30% | 77.10% |
| +14.5 | 67.60% | 72.63% | 72.63% | 77.09% | 77.09% |
| +15 | 65.77% | 65.77% | 69.13% | 69.13% | 72.48% |
| % Needed | 69.84% | 70.53% | 73.14% | 74.93% | 78.26% |
Bookmaker Teaser Charts
5Dimes offers better returns for 4, 4.5 and 5 point teasers, but Bookmaker provides by far the best 5.5, 6 and 6.5 point payouts. Historical results for those teasers have been listed below.
Home Favorites (Bookmaker)
| Line | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | 64.57% | 67.99% | 69.60% |
| -1.5 | 66.42% | 66.83% | 71.28% |
| -2 | 65.47% | 67.91% | 69.06% |
| -2.5 | 65.44% | 66.33% | 68.80% |
| -3 | 67.37% | 69.50% | 70.44% |
| -3.5 | 66.17% | 67.82% | 70.11% |
| -4 | 64.40% | 67.08% | 68.40% |
| -4.5 | 66.87% | 67.86% | 70.52% |
| -5 | 69.76% | 72.69% | 73.79% |
| -5.5 | 66.52% | 66.52% | 68.89% |
| -6 | 70.82% | 70.82% | 70.82% |
| -6.5 | 72.32% | 73.10% | 73.10% |
| -7 | 73.03% | 74.54% | 75.06% |
| -7.5 | 75.34% | 76.09% | 78.30% |
| -8 | 69.11% | 72.03% | 73.16% |
| -8.5 | 74.62% | 76.12% | 79.70% |
| -9 | 71.05% | 74.77% | 76.02% |
| -9.5 | 71.10% | 72.45% | 75.73% |
| -10 | 69.79% | 72.64% | 73.72% |
| -10.5 | 69.02% | 70.61% | 72.94% |
| -11 | 69.21% | 71.33% | 72.19% |
| -11.5 | 76.38% | 77.14% | 78.83% |
| -12 | 66.55% | 69.85% | 71.27% |
| -12.5 | 73.57% | 74.25% | 76.89% |
| -13 | 67.36% | 70.87% | 72.31% |
| -13.5 | 68.27% | 69.30% | 73.04% |
| -14 | 69.63% | 73.04% | 74.30% |
| -14.5 | 78.95% | 79.89% | 83.63% |
| -15 | 76.51% | 80.28% | 81.21% |
| % Needed | 73.58% | 75.18% | 76.38% |
Home Underdogs (Bookmaker)
| Line | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1 | 66.28% | 68.00% | 68.81% |
| +1.5 | 70.61% | 71.88% | 74.25% |
| +2 | 70.74% | 73.16% | 74.05% |
| +2.5 | 70.38% | 71.38% | 75.32% |
| +3 | 69.18% | 71.12% | 71.90% |
| +3.5 | 70.64% | 71.26% | 73.46% |
| +4 | 73.55% | 75.75% | 76.45% |
| +4.5 | 74.21% | 74.90% | 76.68% |
| +5 | 71.79% | 74.67% | 75.64% |
| +5.5 | 70.72% | 71.74% | 74.32% |
| +6 | 72.46% | 74.26% | 74.88% |
| +6.5 | 64.97% | 65.84% | 70.37% |
| +7 | 74.67% | 76.19% | 76.67% |
| +7.5 | 78.91% | 79.33% | 82.07% |
| +8 | 64.52% | 65.79% | 66.45% |
| +8.5 | 69.17% | 70.87% | 76.27% |
| +9 | 73.64% | 75.70% | 76.36% |
| +9.5 | 67.78% | 68.48% | 69.23% |
| +10 | 63.00% | 67.02% | 69.00% |
| +10.5 | 75.64% | 76.54% | 78.48% |
| +11 | 69.33% | 74.29% | 76.00% |
| +11.5 | 75.00% | 75.38% | 79.03% |
| +12 | 72.13% | 75.86% | 77.05% |
| +12.5 | 68.29% | 69.05% | 70.73% |
| +13 | 66.67% | 66.67% | 66.67% |
| +13.5 | 60.71% | 64.52% | 64.52% |
| +14 | 79.31% | 85.19% | 86.21% |
| +14.5 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
| +15 | 76.19% | 80.00% | 80.95% |
| % Needed | 73.58% | 75.18% | 76.38% |
Road Favorites (Bookmaker)
| Line | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | 67.20% | 70.26% | 71.56% |
| -1.5 | 68.37% | 69.57% | 71.43% |
| -2 | 67.94% | 71.01% | 72.26% |
| -2.5 | 69.43% | 70.46% | 73.40% |
| -3 | 67.37% | 70.35% | 71.60% |
| -3.5 | 65.55% | 66.17% | 68.63% |
| -4 | 66.86% | 69.70% | 70.93% |
| -4.5 | 65.49% | 66.02% | 67.59% |
| -5 | 62.39% | 64.32% | 65.38% |
| -5.5 | 71.74% | 71.74% | 73.66% |
| -6 | 73.43% | 73.43% | 73.43% |
| -6.5 | 79.90% | 80.20% | 80.20% |
| -7 | 76.67% | 78.77% | 79.33% |
| -7.5 | 70.71% | 72.67% | 75.17% |
| -8 | 68.39% | 70.67% | 71.61% |
| -8.5 | 77.60% | 77.95% | 79.84% |
| -9 | 74.55% | 77.36% | 78.18% |
| -9.5 | 79.31% | 80.43% | 87.06% |
| -10 | 76.00% | 77.55% | 78.00% |
| -10.5 | 70.13% | 71.60% | 75.32% |
| -11 | 72.00% | 72.00% | 72.00% |
| -11.5 | 65.63% | 66.15% | 67.19% |
| -12 | 75.41% | 76.67% | 77.05% |
| -12.5 | 78.05% | 78.57% | 80.49% |
| -13 | 76.92% | 76.92% | 76.92% |
| -13.5 | 90.00% | 90.32% | 90.32% |
| -14 | 72.41% | 72.41% | 72.41% |
| -14.5 | 71.43% | 71.43% | 71.43% |
| -15 | 47.62% | 55.56% | 61.90% |
| % Needed | 73.58% | 75.18% | 76.38% |
Road Underdogs (Bookmaker)
| Line | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1 | 73.17% | 75.22% | 75.89% |
| +1.5 | 74.81% | 75.48% | 78.30% |
| +2 | 75.66% | 76.82% | 77.17% |
| +2.5 | 71.31% | 72.11% | 74.33% |
| +3 | 71.21% | 74.20% | 75.24% |
| +3.5 | 72.69% | 73.52% | 77.14% |
| +4 | 73.40% | 76.30% | 77.20% |
| +4.5 | 72.75% | 73.61% | 76.18% |
| +5 | 71.57% | 74.89% | 76.01% |
| +5.5 | 76.00% | 76.82% | 79.03% |
| +6 | 77.47% | 79.52% | 80.04% |
| +6.5 | 72.17% | 73.32% | 76.99% |
| +7 | 73.71% | 75.93% | 76.63% |
| +7.5 | 73.93% | 74.78% | 75.94% |
| +8 | 77.22% | 80.05% | 80.76% |
| +8.5 | 72.18% | 72.58% | 75.43% |
| +9 | 71.93% | 75.23% | 76.32% |
| +9.5 | 75.00% | 75.85% | 77.78% |
| +10 | 71.00% | 72.98% | 73.72% |
| +10.5 | 71.71% | 72.52% | 73.70% |
| +11 | 76.16% | 77.44% | 77.81% |
| +11.5 | 74.16% | 75.36% | 77.57% |
| +12 | 77.82% | 79.26% | 79.64% |
| +12.5 | 75.66% | 76.39% | 77.73% |
| +13 | 74.79% | 77.02% | 77.69% |
| +13.5 | 70.67% | 71.63% | 73.33% |
| +14 | 74.30% | 76.44% | 77.10% |
| +14.5 | 76.02% | 77.09% | 78.86% |
| +15 | 69.13% | 71.53% | 72.48% |
| % Needed | 73.58% | 75.18% | 76.38% |
Conclusions
NCAA basketball offers a ton of great teasing opportunities. It might be better than any other sport. On average, road teams offer the most chances for profitable teases. We believe this to be due to an inflated sense of the benefits from playing at home. Compared to the NBA, home floor is not worth nearly as many points (on average) in college basketball. There are many variables that impact this, but we’ve checked the data for the NBA and college basketball and found it to be true (on average home court is worth about 6 points in the NBA and just 3.6 points in college hoops).
You can use these tables any time you are looking for an extra edge handicapping NCAA basketball games. We wouldn’t recommend using it exclusively or following it blindly. But, we do think it can be a great tool for helping knowing the best situations to tease certain teams.